Quoted: I was invited to make a presentation to the PhilRECA Board of Directors meeting on October 16. Click the image to view or download a copy of the presentation deck. The seven ECs on Panay and Guimaras are in the midst of procurement for an aggregated 90 MW of base and intermediate load resources beginning in 2011 when their NPC Supply Contracts expire.

Quoted: What Am I About? Why Am I Here? What Is My Mission? I have a strongly held belief that bulk power supply joint action on behalf of the Philippine electric cooperatives (ECs) will transform the EC sector. Executed diligently, it has the potential to lead the way forward out of morass of power supply problems we've been encountering since the early 1990s.

Quoted: Shakira, the phenomenally successful performing artist from Colombia, and of Lebanese decent, says it best: "Hips don't lie". Some of my colleagues on the other hand, who are practitioners of the dismal science, might say: "data is data is data." Either way, sometimes you just gotta step back and look at the numbers. Or may may want to first sit back

Quoted: Dan Dan Bantugan has an excellent article in the Bohol Chronicle about power costs on Bohol. I think he fairly clearly lays out the concept that Napocor's selling rate to Bohol utilities is below its cost of generation at the Dampas Deisel Plant on the island, and that Napocor can sell at a lower rate because it "subsidizes" (in a way) it's selling

Quoted: Geeze, Luise! Has anyone tried to model the Kepco-SPC (formerly Salcon) pricing for power out of their new coal-fired plant under construction at Naga, Cebu? The formulas and mechanisms are in the ERC Decision here. There are two things going on in this Decision. First, ERC has set an LRAC benchmark mechanism (see my earlier post) that essentially

Quoted: There are two ways to do what we-in-the-industry call "security constrained economic dispatch." That is, how do we optimally allocate the electric demand among all of our generators to achieve the least cost supply (minimize the fuel costs) in each hour without overloading any transmission facilities and such that we can withstand certain sudden failures

Quoted: The Energy Regulatory Commission posted a Decision last week to its website (two months after the Decision was signed, by the way) that established the 2008 Long Run Avoidable Cost (LRAC) for the Best New Entrant Plant in the Visayas. This is the benchmark that the ERC has used in justifying and approving the pricing provisions to be incorporated into

Quoted: I don't make predictions - that is insane. But in my line of work (planning) I have to look out into the future. The forecast scenarios I prepare are but tools, a pick-axe to help bring down "a wall of radical uncertainty in a chaotic and unpredictable system" ... to help make decisions. Anybody dealing with planning type issues related to large-investment

Quoted: I'm in the midst of a consulting engagement advising the seven ECs on Panay and Guimaras regarding the evaluation of bids they received ten days ago to supply base and intermediate load power supply to the cooperatives on a long-term basis beginning in 2011. Now I am not at all wanting to pass the buck and I believe fully in the soundness of my advice